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I think the adoption rate will be slower than in previous generation, the fans will be willing to buy it during the first 2-3 months but after that there very little reason to pay for a brand new console if all the games are coming for the current one, the new one is not backwards compatible and you have to pay to play online (in the case of PS4 vs PS3).

After launch when is the next next-generation exclusive coming and I mean for both consoles? Infamous: Second Son in march 2014? Something for the Xbox One?