ikenNoAce said:
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I dont think any one title will cause a change but rather a combination of titles at the right price. Nintendo has stated they will start a new advertising campaign when the games start releasing starting with Pikmin 3 and thats when I think the turnaround will slowly begin. At that point we have a quality exclusive coming every 2-3 weeks until the end of the year.
Pikmin 3 will boost sales for a couple weeks, Luigi U & Wondeful 101 will keep sales from dropping and Wii Party U/Wind Waker/Sonic Lost World will boost sales in Oct. That will slowly build momentum for Wii U leading up to the holidays.
During the holiday season DKC Tropical Freeze, Mario & Sonic Olympics, Wii Fit U and Mario 3D World release which are all from series that have traditionally sold over 5 million. That in addition to holiday deals/bundles like Wii U Basic-$199 or Wii U Deluxe w/extra game-$299 will ensure a healthy holiday.
Q1 2014 should be up YoY by a large amount due to the successful holiday and quality existing library. I think in April Wii U will get a price cut alongside the release of Mario Kart 8 and possibly a bundle. A $299 Mario Kart 8 bundle would sell very well and keep the Basic bundle around at $199 for entry level buyers. That will likely give a strong boost for the spring. After that im guessing Smash Bros will be the big summer title and release sometime around August then the holidays could have Zelda/Wii Sports combo. Sprinkle in games like Yarn Yoshi, Bayonetta 2, X, SMTxFE and maybe a couple more smallef exclusives in between the big sellers and u have a very well rounded and consistant relaease schedule of quality exclusives.
For the record I dont think Wii U will win this generation, I just think it will do very well later this year and in 2014-2015. Im guessing PS4 and One will both pass it in lifetime sales but I dont see those two consoles truly taking off until 2015 when they will likely have there first price cut, have a strong selection of big exclusives and PS360 support dies down.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.







