| TheLastStarFighter said: The New consoles from Sony and MS are basically cheap PC's, so we know how they'll perform. We really have no idea how they will sell, along with Wii U. |
Let's see, the first week usually makes up around 50% of the first three months.
Sony preorders are something fierce, and it drops right in the middle of a holiday period.
Aside:
"No results found for biggest console launches first week."
Thanks bing.
Anyway, after using google, I've found that the biggest console launches are around 1.2-1.5m first week.
Holidays are roughly double a three month period of normal sales. So, if it launches at 2m, then it should do ~4 million on top of that during the next 3 months, for a total of 5-7m through february or march.
That would be quarter 1.
Sony is looking at around 13-16m console sales for FY 2013 (this is reported by Sony itself, which is based on production and demand by retailers, whom are all out of stock)
It then has 9 months -through the end of september-, which should be roughly ~2m per 3 months, which equals 150k a week. Easily doable. We can predict a lower threshold of around 11-12m
To get to 15-16, at minimum it will have to sell around 8m in the first three months, leading to ~800k per month (185k per week) for the rest of the year.
I have to say, that's going to be hard. It's going to need some massive titles, or retailer discounts in the first year to do that.
