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MDMAlliance said:
DM235 said:
MDMAlliance said:
DM235 said:


The 3DS did 13 mil in 2011 and 14 mil in 2012.  I expect 2013 and 2014 to be repeats of 2012 (14 mil each).  So far, the year-over-year comparison for 2013 vs 2012 has supported this.  Unless Nintendo releases an updated 3DS model, I don't expect anything to change.  I think that any gains due to popularity or improvements in its software library will be lost due to people shifting to mobile platforms.


I don't think so.


I have seen way too many kids with iPads and iPods playing games for me to ignore them.  Also the 3DS is tracking much lower than the DS, and we know that they are not losing that many sales to Vita. 

If you have a better explanation I would love to hear it.


What you personally see is a horrible way to estimate what the actual market is like.  
Also, guessing that the 3DS will be 60m+ by its 4th year on the market is still saying that it would be tracking under the DS.
At that point in the DS' life, it had already passed 80m.

That's exactly my point, that it would be tracking under the DS.  In my opinion, the PSP was a stronger competitor against the DS, and yet it still did amazingly well.  Right now the 3DS is tracking under the DS, and don't think that the Vita is what is stealing all of the customers away.

Everyone has their own opinion, and I can only base mine on what I see.  A few years ago, I would see lots of people playing on their DS on commutes or shopping trips.  I see a lot less of that now.  So unless everyone just plays their 3DS at home, I have to assume that the smartphones and tablets I see everyone playing on are taking away sales.