“Certain” AAA IP Needs 10 Million Copies to Break Even says

[BossPuma]

spurgeonryan said:
GTAV or The Last of US. Or Pikmin 3, it was in development for many years!

There is no way Pikmin 3 needs to sell that much. Nintendo is actually really good at budget managing and dont set their expectations too high on anything that isnt Mario or Zelda