PS4 has Knack and Killzone (the 2 games I'm getting at launch) as well as Infamous, Driveclub, and 1886 early on in it's life so I don't it's as clear cut as you say for exclusives. PSN already rivals Live with no paywall (not saying it's better but they are comparable and it's FREE so what's going to happen when Sony has money to pump into it from subs?). PS4 will also be cheaper and more powerful. The power many people don't care about but if they're getting next gen for better COD, BF, and Fifa they won't be going $100 to get a camera. Also PS+ will continue to deliver such great value (such as Driveclub at launch along with many indies until the AAA games get old enough) that I'm sure people will see how much more they're getting for that $50 than the $60 they spend on Live. Plus back to those COD and BF guys the controller is getting universal praise so less complaining about Xbox having the only good controller this gen. I don't see how One could beat PS4 when 360 lost to PS3 even with its head start (15 months in Europe) and undercutting Sony even MORE than they're getting undercut this gen. The US is the only question mark. I hope my homeland comes to its senses this gen.
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