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MTZehvor said:

According to the NSA, their spying programs have only caught "dozens" of terrorist attacks in the last year. Even if these statistics are to be believed (which I doubt the credibility of in the first place), the odds wouldn't rise that much.

I might not reveal a big secret here, but here's an outline how typical specop operations against terrorists is done:

- Hey you, yes you, "brown-skinned, with funny accent, funny dressed, doesn't look like American, immigrant" come over here. Wanna earn some money? Here's package. Take it ooover here, please. - Take him guys, he's terrorist! He's got a bomb in the package!

So called sting operations.