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ethomaz on 22 June 2013
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Figgycal said:

3 million is a little low, but to be fair, I didn't expect GT5 to sell as well as it did either, but I think that:

1. There's no buzz to this game (GT5 got a lot of attention because of how often it was delayed and how long people were waiting for a complete Gran Turismo game since ps2 era).Part of the reason there's no buzz is also due to a lack of marketing- I'm already seeing trailers for Madden, COD, BF, etc look at how many views the trailer for gt6 on youtube has- not even 100k.  EDIT: The anouncement trailer did get 400k views, but e3's didn't get to 100k

2. It's the end of the consoles's generation and people are going to be more interested in a next gen racing games ala Drive Club, Forza, etc.

3. Xbox One, PS4, GTA 5, Battlefield 4, Call of Duty 98, and tons of next gen and current gen games are gonna be launching around the same time.

I think 3 million is being real- if not a bit optimistic.

EDIT #2: I'm completely talking out of my ass- I have no idea how to guesstimate game sales. Just my uneducated guesses.

1. The buzz is way bigger than GT5... GT6 had a unique event in Silverstone to be announced... GT6 had one of the biggest booth in E3... there are marketing in all big racing events... just watch Le Mans today (yeah.. it's today the race)... there are more gameplay videos being sharing than all GT5 videos before together... GT6 even outshine Forza 5 and DriveClub at E3... no buzz lol

2. Every GT at end-console generation sold like GT games.

3. GT games never are affect by others games sales... neither new consoles launch.

People can say 8 million... it's fine but 3 million? 600k first week? less than 5 million? lol that's wrong... way wrong... it's even impossible unless the world ends in the GT6 launch day.

So yeah... people never learn... they are doing the same prediction that they did to GT5 lol

3 million is what GT6 will sell in the launch week.