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Your making a whole lotta assumptions here.

You assume ps4 will outsell xb1 next gen.
You assume almost everyone who gets ps4 will subscribe to ps+
You assume everyone who subscribes to ps+ will download driveclub
You assume everyone who downloads driveclub will play driveclub.

I'll get driveclub but I don't see myself spending much time playing it. If its just a gimped version of the retail version then it probably won't hold my interest. Not really into racing games anyways.