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Aldro said:
Joel lies because it's a test in some ways.

Ellie knows he's not being honest. Why else would she even say "Swear to me that everything you said about the fireflies is true!".

"I swear".

She's afraid of being alone and having Joel swear to her is his way of saying that he isn't going anywhere. She knows it deep down inside and that is why she at the end is okay with it. "Okay".

Also regarding Sales saying Joel was stupid for not figuring it out => During gameplay Joel says they're probably just gonna take a blood test or something. The guy isn't exactly a scientist or a brainiac for that matter. One truly misses a lot by just watching the cutscenes.

I never thought of it that way, and good point and I like the idealistic view.

 

Also Joel knows enough to know that the infection is on the brain, so when Madeline says they will reverse engineer it he knows Ellie will die



The best way to find out if you can trust somebody is to trust them.

Ernest Hemmingway