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SvennoJ said:

[...]

Long time in tech, short time to replace infrastructure.
LTE is impressive but it approaches cable internet speeds with higher latencies, not fibre. And that also needs a lot of infrastructure.

I used to live in the Netherlands when fibre was announced at the end of the 90's. Now in 2013, 15 years later, with the government supporting the new infrastructure, in one of the most densely populated countries meaning lowest cost per distance, fibre has 7.8% market share with 6% growth last quarter.
I would be surprised to see fibre making it here in rural Ontario in the next 10 years.

About latency, I agree, video streaming can afford far higher ones, interactive distributed computing cannot, even less with soft real-time applications like gaming.

About fibre: I live in one of the 10 biggest towns in Italy, but my house is in a small, relatively low population density alley: 20 years ago public fibre infrastructure project ran out of funds when fibre had arrived 100m North and 100m South of my garden's gate, some years later the old unfinished infrastructure was took over by a company, but they never extend it in low density area like mine, I'm still with a quite rotten half-mile that can go up to 10-12Mbps (depending on weather, when it's wet, and Genoa is almost always wet, even when sunny, the old rotten copper suffers from more dispersion and speed is lower). In no way we'd ever make the works to extend that line by ourselves, municipal taxes for private citizens for public soil occupation are already high to occupy and dig up to 1m^2 for one day, beyond that area and that time they skyrocket.



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