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kber81 said:
Bodhesatva said:

The general feeling I've seen is that HD-DVD still has one more real shot at this: if they can get their players marked down below 200 dollars considerably before Blu-ray can, then they could still win this.


Hmm, the question is how do you define "considerably before". Week? Month? More? I don't believe Sony would just sit and look at such movement for lets say 6 months. They would drop price as well. I don't think HD-DVD can win only because of minor difference in price. Blu-ray has two major advantage - it's bigger (1 disc movies) and has stronger support in Hollywood.

Is it much cheaper to manufacture HD-DVD players? Anyone knows anything in this matter?


Right now, there are HD-DVD players for 300ish, so it's got a good head start.

Now,  I totally agree with you -- it's tough to say how long a considerable time is. I'd say the HD-DVD player would need a good 6 months at least if it were to really put a beat down on Blu-ray. I'd say a year or more is probably necessary. But these are all guesses from me, and I'm not especially experienced in such matters.

Let's just say that the HD-DVD player will probably get more than two months of time when it's price is sub-199 and the Blu-ray isn't; on the other side, it will probably get less than two years. Other than that, I'm just going to leave it at: "It's possible the lower pricing could have an effect once we start reaching mass market prices"



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