| Bodhesatva said: The general feeling I've seen is that HD-DVD still has one more real shot at this: if they can get their players marked down below 200 dollars considerably before Blu-ray can, then they could still win this. The goal here isn't to win the technophiles, who constitue a microscopic portion (less than 2 percent? less than 1?) of the overall market. The goal is to win over families, and families don't buy 500 dollar video players. That's why Blu-ray, despite its chest thumping about "beating" HD-DVD, still constitutes only .4 percent of the overall home movie market. |
Agreed here, Imo not saying its over at all, trust me i know there are a lot of misinformed people out there who see a shiny price tag and the words "HD combined with DVD" and think its a universally supported medium liek DVD.....lots of people liek that.
But the part i bolded is what i disagree with. the BDA, may have silly claims from moronic PR guys comparing their product to DVD but everyone knows the real battle is to phase out HDVD before BDA can move on to even THINKING about competeing with DVD......its not about going after DVD, its about getting it to one medium and then moving forward.
BD beating HDVD is all that matters right now, gotta go in stages.
When you look at variables, yes anything is possible, Disney or Fox could announce tomorrow that they will support HDDVD as well, universal and Warner could comeout and say that BD is the way to go..but REALISTICALLY given what we know know and how adament both sides have been about seeing this thing through we have an elastic COST which will eventually come down to be about even, yet the studio support cannot be molded for HDDVD to compete......
HD DVD has advantages, they have the price and that is an enormous advantage right now, price for the same visual product.....BUT its not a concrete advantage as price will come come down on both sides, however, BD has MANY concrete advantages Disc space, bitrate transfer and Disney, Fox, Sony, BVHE, Lionsgate....without talking out of our bums and without wishful thinking this will not change base don EVERYTHING we know right now, sales of software for th elats 6 months have showsn BD selling more than TWICE the amount of discs....at this point there is NO sign of any company jumping ship form both sides so i dont want to here that wishful thinking as an argument.
