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I also agree with most of your predictions except for Sonic Lost Worlds.

Somehow, Sonic lost a lot of its marketing appeal (maybe due to a series of bad games?). I see Nintendo working to market this game a lot, but even so I doubt that it will surpass 1,5 million. Anyway, this is just a hunch.

It´s clear that Nintendo has been saving marketing/advertsiment money in order to produce games right now, seriously, is there any other company with so many games actually in development at the same time today ? I´m impressed with their effort, but they do need a better and more comprehensive marketing campaign to sell the wiiU this year.