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Xbox One will mainly sell to US consumers. Once it hits that magical price point in 3-4 years it will take off. If they allow it to play offline with the disc inserted (which they should anyways) that will mostly help with sales outside of the US. Either way Xbox One will sell fine but I'm predicting 80-90 mil PS4 and 45-50 mil Xbox One if they don't implement any offline option. If they do then 60-70 mil.