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Doubt it. Microsoft will lose a few customers, perhaps, but that's it. The average person has no idea all of this is going on. They'll say, "oh, new Xbox? Sweet," and buy it. They might get a surprise later, or they might just trade in games at GameStop like always, without ever knowing anything is different.

I still think it's going to be close. The Wii U might even end up close, thanks to that one year head start.