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Who is the publisher, who owns the IP?

If its EA or Respawn it will %100 come to PS4. It being a persistently online game, exclusivity will be a continually high cost on microsoft's behalf. How long they're willing to pay and how much EA/respawn demand from them is in correlation to the games success and Xbox One sales.

If the game isn't a big hit microsoft won't care, and we'll see it on ps4 by 2014/early 2015. I assume the initial contact is 6-12months.

If the game is a mega success, Microsoft will be willing to throw a ton of money at Respawn/EA until they reap all the benefits they need. Essentially until everyone wants to play this game would have already bought a Xbox One over a PS4 (2/3 years)

If the game is a huge success but Xbox One sales are lagging behind PS4, EA/Respawn will cut the exclusivity as soon as they get the chance regardless of what MS is offering.