I don't think that Gears 2 will sell as well as GeoW. You have to remember, the first Gears was basically the game that said, "Next-gen is here!" and it's sales were affected as a result. The sequel won't have that effect. It will still be a great game, and sell insanely well, but it will probably sell a few hundred thousand to a million less than the first, much like what happened to GT4 and MGS3 on the ps2.
Resistance 2, however, will sell more than it's predecessor, imo. RFOM was a pretty good game, especially for a launch title, but it just doesn't hold up very well compared to other fps on the 360/ps3. The sequel, however, should be the definitive ps3 fps, if Insomniac comes through on everything they have planned for the game, and I could see it outselling the ps3 version of CoD4 by a good bit in the long run.
In the end, Gears 2 will definitely outsell Resistance 2, but R2 will sell better than R1, and G2 will sell worse than G1. I think that G2 will sell between 4-5 million, and R2 will sell between 3-4 million.
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