"1,4 mln. is NOTHING when we speak about 100 mln"
Isn't that your problem though? You assume that the PS3 will reach that 100M no matter what and then looks for supporting evidence and ignore non-supporting evidence. You should do the opposite and start from the available evidence and then try to predict from there.
And so far, the evidence point to the PS3 doing very well but not nearly as well as the PS2 and not nearly well enough for 100M to be a sure thing. It barely keeps up with the PS2 at this stage in its life but had to neuter its hardware to do so and drop its price heavily. Also the PS2 was still supply constrained at this time in 2001 at least in the US (shortages for about 6 months after launch wasn't it) whereas the PS3 isn't.
"I do not suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it"