I Was Wrong. Xbox Live is the Killer App. Kinect Won't Hurt Though!

[DirtyP2002]

ArnoldRimmer said:

DirtyP2002 said:

You blindly follow his view and I am skeptical on his knowledge for cloud computing since he has never ever done anything with it and therfore has no experience at all. He is just a designer for puzzle games. You should be skeptical for both parties.

I just see the potential for hybrid games getting data of the cloud and from the disc / HDD. Of course this is something his games will never achieve due to lack of budget, skill and experience.

Instead of addressing this Jonathan Blow guy's actual arguments, you simply try to discredit the person : "Mimimi, who is this guy anyway? What does he know about cloud computing? Cloud computing has a lot of potential!"

Yes, cloud computing indeed has a lot of potential for gaming. But unfortunately that's just irrelevant here. One hardly needs to know what cloud computing is to realize that there's something strange about that "300.000 servers on day one!"  number:

There are currently about 80 million Xbox 360s out there.

All these 360s are currently served by 15.000 Xbox Live servers.

300.000 servers is 20 times that number. And 20 times the number of servers means about 20 times the cost. But at least in the beginning, there will only be a few million Xbox One owners out there who are paying. So the costs would go up about 1900% while the revenue would decrease by about 90%. That just doesn't make sense. If these servers were dedicated Xbox Live servers, it would instead make sense to start with a small number and constantly increase the number of servers when more Xbox Live owners arrive. That's also what they did on the 360: It started with 3000 servers, and as the userbase was increasing they installed more servers and are now at 15000.

So the number 300000 indeed sounds like it's simply the total number of Windows Azure servers and thus more of a sham.

could you please provide a link to the source that confirms that Xbox Live on Xbox 360 will be shut off the day the Xbox One launches?
Otherwise your whole argument is screwed.