Because people seem to think that current-gen trends will continue into the next. They might, at least at first, but next-gen starts from scratch. Anything can happen. Does the X1 have the best chance of dominating America? Yes. But depending on what mistakes they make(many from the looks of it) they could lose it.
I fully expect the Wii U to become the next big thing in America, at least for families. A price drop and some marketing is all it really needs. It even has Nintendo TVii which would be nice if it got advertised.
I fully expect the PS4 to become the go-to console for core gamers. A comparable price point and release date is all it needs to be competitive.
I fully expect the Xbox One to have an identity crisis. It will try to go for the Wii audience and the PS4 one. If successful, it could dominate the market. If its not, well then it won't.
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