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I'd say the first day buys are guaranteed to be over 750K. Consider this: There are 2,500 Gamestops hosting midnight launches of these games, and the average preorder amount seems to be well over 200. Even if only 200 were bought per Gamestop, there would be 500K copies sold day 1 from only ONE chain of stores, and that's not counting the other 2000 gamestops either.