Official 2013 Console sales prediction thread- It's Nearly Over!

[HikenNoAce]

pezus said:

Conegamer said:

pezus said:

Looking at this again is interesting.

Here's how the 2012 totals look now:

Platform	Yearly (change)	Total
3DS	14,406,901	(+9%)	27,656,963
PS3	12,734,949	(-13%)	73,830,282
X360	11,097,669	(-20%)	74,867,113
Wii	5,246,228	(-54%)	98,674,459
PSP	4,328,993	(-42%)	77,504,985
PSV	3,705,007	(+669%)	4,186,580
DS	3,012,615	(-66%)	152,996,125
WiiU	2,247,216	(-66%)	2,247,216
Total	56,779,578	(-19%)

Before: 

Platform	Yearly (change)	Total
3DS	13,993,602	(+6%)	27,243,664
PS3	11,277,199	(-20%)	71,784,934
X360	9,806,002	(-29%)	73,575,446
Wii	4,911,170	(-58%)	98,574,693
PSV	3,454,534	(+617%)	3,936,107
DS	3,434,070	(-61%)	153,743,293
PSP	2,915,105	(-60%)	75,774,585
WiiU	2,245,161	/	2,245,161
Total	52,036,843	(-25%)

 

With this in mind, I think my PS3 prediction will end up too low, 360 probably too, Wii is slightly too high, WiiU is way too high (!), 3DS too high (damn all of yous making me adjust!), Vita is too high, PSP way too low. Oh and I believe PS4 will sell more than 1.4m if it launches WW (but that prediction was really without Europe).

User

PS3

360

Wii

Wii U

3DS

Vita

DS

PSP

PS4

720

Total

Pezus

9.3

7

2.5

9

16.5

5.5

2.2

1.4

1.4

1.7

56.5

Yeah, interesting to note the differences in sales increases really. Everyone really overpredicted Wii U and arguably Vita, maybe 3DS as well. 

I think PS3 will end up around 9mil when all is said and done. But it could be higher, depending on a price cut. More than 10mil seems unlikely though.

Around 10m is all but guaranteed with GT6 combined with a price cut in NA. Sony themselves predicted 10m for the fiscal year, so the real year should be a bit higher because the fiscal year includes months where PS3 should suffer bigger drops than this year.

Don't forget that they exceeded their forecast for FY2012 so exceeding 10M for FY2013 isn't out of question. I also think that they are purposedly forecasting lower numbers since the Vita forecast debacle.