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@slacker164

The problem with your argument is that the market in Japan might not belong to Microsoft but it won't belong to Sony either. Basically it belongs to Nintendo, and that doesn't appear like it is going to change. Going with the winner means going with Nintendo and not Sony. Market dominance should secure the majority of must have titles unless Microsoft and Sony purchase enough titles to slake the appetite of gamers.

That said if all the innuendo is to be believed, and you really trust what Sony's public relations has told the press. Microsoft is making a habit of purchasing exclusive role playing games for their console which is high definition. While Sony refuses to pay for exclusive games. Honestly I don't believe that Microsoft is buying all their exclusives any more then Sony isn't heavily bribing Square. Sony is getting treated too well for being a distant third, and being far from dominant in their domestic market. Microsoft and Nintendo have thrown serious punches in North America. In japan Sony has got cold cocked right out of the corner.

Basically if you think its a question of market dominance in Japan then your question was answered months ago, and the answer was Nintendo. Now if your question was who could secure the most high definition exclusives outside of Nintendo in Japan. Well Microsoft has been doing a very good job of that. Over time it will be harder for developers to justify ignoring the Wii in Japan without financial incentives or good relationships, and square plays too close to the middle for that to work to Sony's favor. I can see Microsoft and Mistwalker sticking tight, and I can see Microsoft making a point to purchase a few role playing games every year. After all they need them more then Sony. Which doesn't seem to need them in Japan for their distant second place position.