| Screamapillar said: Wii U will definitely outsell GameCube. The console game market is SO much bigger than it was in the early 2000's. It's not a niche industry anymore for geeks. |
That is hardly any kind of certainty. Your assuming the market has only grown in volume, but haven't made any allowances for any increase in sophistication. This market is without a doubt far more sophisticated then that market. The only constant being how Nintendo conducts business, and the product that it provides. It not keeping pace with the times may finally catch up with it. Not to mention comparatively speaking the quality has declined steeply. The Wii damaged the image of the company with long time loyalists. The single minded devotion to the casuals the company displayed. Really amounted to them abandoning their long time core audience. The casual audience now being gone, and the core having been burned. Means the console probably can't sell on name alone, but a improvement in delivery is required.
Of coarse we know now that a console can't just sell on name alone. Even die hard brand loyalists have their limits. Sony after all found that out the hard way last generation. When they discovered that there was only so much consumers would pay for a gaming console. Even for one of their consoles. The thing about it is that Nintendo probably doesn't deserve good sales of their console. Given that they have failed to delivery on just about every promise they made to rectify all of their past wrongs to their core player base. Which may have actually lapsed, because of all that bad behavior. They haven't seemed to have learned one thing from all of their past failures.
There is actually a gaping hole in the logic. Performing the same actions over again should not give you a different result. Performing those same actions again, but doing a poorer job the second time. Should actually give you a poorer result. Both consoles if the Wii U goes the distance will get the same first party titles. The difference is the GameCube will have gotten better third party support, and that console enjoyed a more consistent delivery. While the market is bigger now at least on paper. That is only a twenty percent or so increase, and how much of that is due to the casual flood that has largely receded. I guess the real question is how can that market growth possibly cancel out and exceed the decrease in apparent quality.
Essay Pro