| Conegamer said: Well looking at Sony's figures and forecasts for the Vita, that seems unlikely. |
They sold ~3.5m consoles last (actual) year with early adopters in the west; Call of Duty; Assassin's Creed; Uncharted + some decent Black Friday bundles and a limited edition console colour.
If we broke their forecast of 5m down into 1.5m PSP / 3.5m Vita, it's almost necessary for them to drop the price to reach last year's numbers. The sad reality is they won't even reach that forecast unless they've either got more than their current lineup coming before the end of the year (and the unrevealed games are big IP's); or they cut the price.
The only argument I see for the forecast not suggesting a price cut is if you think PSP will sell more than 1.5m this year. I actually think there might be a bit of truth in that seeing as Nintendo's chart gave us 300k for Q1 in Europe and in Japan it's at 250k for the year so far. So depends whether you think it'll keep that pace up for the upcoming FY. I personally think it'll lose a lot of steam in Japan as releases finally dry up, so 1.5m might even be an optimistic prediction. But we'll see. It did sell 3m last (actual) year according to the numbers here and I know the European tracking is awful, so maybe even more.
(Japan will probably be stronger for Vita this year than last year seeing as it's already almost 2/3 of last year's total; but most of those sales came before the end of the last financial year. Also, I don't think any gains made in Japan will offset lower sales in NA/EU)
