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I expect it to be the same situation as from Wii mote to PS move. The casuals don't really care about better specs, Kinect 1 at parties is still fine. A small core will be happy with the voice commands, just as a small core is happy using move for aiming.

But who knows, maybe with every box having one we might actually see something that actually really is better with Kinect apart from sports and dance games.