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if you are only concerned about the e3=no need to worry.of course they will push kinect2 and social and windows8 like crazy,but not in the beginning as they need us useful idiots.

microsoft is not stupid.They know exactly that almost only core gamers are willing to pay the full price of a consol at release.Core gamers are very important for the basic success of any plattform , they won"t made them angry as they need them in the beginning,therefore you will see a basic focus on core games(50%) and the rest about social,kinect etc.
in the beginning it will be very much like the 360 start(good games),but as soon as they have a satisfying userbase and can drop the xbox3price they will turn massivly to the casual gamer as the casual gamer isn't criticizing,he don't care about graphics or AAA games.the best
the same scenario we have seen with the 360,only faster in time and more massive way-but two years after release there will be a massive turn=one shooter and one racing game a year,some exclusive cod dlc's and if the coregamer start to protest they may buy one or two exclusives.