Otakumegane said:
platformmaster918 said:
Otakumegane said:
Market in general this gen contracts moderately, from 225 million handhelds to somewhere around 100-130 million, consoles around 150 million from 250 million.
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That's moderate!? The handhelds will be halved? Aren't they already at 35m or about there 2 years in (1 for Vita)? 150m home consoles? So what like...70m PS4, 50m Xbox, and 30m WiiU? Those all seem way too low. Unless one console just completely dominates (I don't think PS4 can reach that marketshare) I don't see it contracting THAT much. This gen isn't over sales wise and even 6th gen was 200m with one dominant console (well 150m when the 7th gen came).
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I believe that Handhelds will be halved because in no way 3DS+Vita will reach DS final numbers, especially if Sony is all the more seemingly willing to let the Vita die in the West (ironic.) No Brain Age and Nintendogs this time and mobile really is shrinking this market
Console market contracting largely due to the semi-crash of Western AAA (where the console market is the largest), Wii casual audience leaving, more and more people moving to PC throughout the gen and Japan pretty much moving more and more to handheld gaming. The rise of digital will also make people gravitate towards less retail and more Steam for their PC.
Seems kinda harsh, but I'm really starting to think that we're in for Crash 2.0. Not as big as the 1st one of course.
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I just hope the first party devs stay strong. Between Nintendo and Sony's I do the vast majority of my gaming.
