Soundwave said:
Yes, even with Mario Kart 7 and Mario 3D Land and Kid Icarus and Resident Evil they missed their 3DS hardware forecast for that fiscal year (and they missed it again this year). So I would view that hardware forecast with a lot of skepticism. Like I said, hardware/software forecasts given by company's at the beginning of the fiscal year are usually their "best case scenario". As the year goes on generally they revise downwards. Nintendo really needs something NEW, like a Brain Training or Wii Sports to come out of nowhere. That's the type of thing that actually crushes hardware/software targets, these existing franchises, while great, can only do so much, and the existing IP that Nintendo I think benefitted tremendously from the blue ocean crazes of 4-5 years ago. |
I really need to see what Nintendo is bringing, software-wise, for the coming Christmas season. They need some titles with strong brand value, and titles that excite and capture imagination. I also want to know what direction PS4 and 720 are going... if they will be expensive, have pricey subscription models, interesting software and so on. I think 9 million units is fairly modest if the software is strong and other new competition is expensive. If the new software bores and the new competition is really exciting and affordable, Nintendo will have a more difficult time. My expectation is that Nintendo will be OK, but it's too early to tell.