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TheLastStarFighter said:

You don't understand the point so I'm not going to try harder.  And yes, 3.5 months might as well be a year if that 3.5 months puts you smack dab in Christmas shopping season when most of your systems are sold.

It's a simple point.  US gets games later than Japan, and adopts the handhelds at a rate that trails Japan by about a year.  It's the case with every Nintendo handheld. Pokemon is a significant factor as it ends up launching in the US on the old system while Nintendo is trying to convince people to buy the new one.

My point is you are taking a trend and erroneously determining the factors for it, and then using those factors to speculate on future sales trends.  If it was about release dates why have European sales dropped off before US sales, and why has that not resulted in significantly stronger 3DS sales there.  Same deal with Pokemon, Europe didn't see the same sales trend as the US despite launching a few days close to the holiday season.  Also like I said in my previous post, the US 3DS/DS ratio is less than what Japan was two years ago, and that would be after a pokemon launched in the holiday season in Japan which is supposedly the end all be all for sales.

You are also ignoring that nearly all the big games other than animal crossing on the 3DS have had or will have close worldwide releases.  Mario Kart 7, 3D land, NSMB2, OoT, Nintendogs, Pokemon X/Y, etc.  Now you can argue about animal crossing for this past holiday season, but even before that the US was not matching Japan in adoption rates.  So with all that, why would 3DS lag a year behind?