Zappykins said:
I was assuming under this 'What if' scenario, that the new format would have be ready to go when the Xbox 360 launched in 2005. And that HD DVD had a clear lead at the beginning. If it was delayed to launch with the PS3 and Wii, I can see a number of scenarios, and I'm not sure if the numbers wouldn't be within 10-20 percent of today’s. I'll have to think about it. Absolutely, the year lead helped the X360 just as having a blu-ray helps the PS3. All being equal, I'm not sure how much it would effect the final numbers as the other advantages and disadvantages are still in play. I guess we will see better with this next gen, if Microsoft launches this fall with Sony. Plus we will have a new 4K format war! I don't know if you saw, but a new under $2k 4K TV is coming to the States. http://www.engadget.com/2013/04/12/seiki-50-inch-4k-1300/
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Agreed, next gen is gonna be interesting when both of its successors will (probably) launch at the same time.