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Hey guys, do you think Halo Reach (9.41m) or Halo 4 (8.07m) will reach 10m mark?

Also, about how Mario games strong on the Wii. I dont really think it is game itself what push the sales. Just casual gamers who bought Wii - buying games with Mario in the title.
You can see current sales of New Super Mario Bros U. Where all 30m fans gone?