Analyst made prediction based on the history data, which clearly shows that Nintendo console sales numbers was declining every generation from NES to GC. They used extrapolation to come up with Wii numbers - 62(SNES),49(NES),33(N64),22(GC).
Analyst that comes up thinking Wii would be no1 at that time will probably get fired or labeled idiot, because they are no basis for that assumption. There is really no reason to bash them now, because they were just doing their job with the available data.
If I were a publisher/developer, I would work on a quality Wii titles. That is something 3rd parties failed to deliver on Wii. This immediately made my games stand out from the crowds, and definitely will sell well considering Wii consumers bought more games than X360 or PS3 (IMO tie ratio is bullshit, what matters is no of software sold)
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