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Both games are ultimately going have to disappointing sales compared to the predecessers of their respective franchises.  Both games are not as good as Gears 3/God 3 (especially Gears), and this is toward the end of the current gen cycle. 

I don't think neither game is going to surpass 4 million in lifetime sales.  This isn't a comparison of 2 titans.  Like Gran Turismo 5 vs Halo Reach or Halo 4.  That's a sh*tstorm titanic argument.

Prediction:  Gran Turismo will surpass Halo Reach in lifetime sales this year.  And GT5 will sell more than Halo 4 lifetime (although Halo 4 still selling well)