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The more titles exist simultaneously on old and next gen consoles and the smaller is the visual gap between them, the more PS3 and Xbox 360 will endure. Not to mention the difference in prices between both consoles.

With even more resources being put on new games, the riskier it is to release them solely on HW that has just come out or has a small install base.

My guess is that, for one or two years, the big titles will appear on both old and new generation.