is the 8th Gen Already dead?

[TruckOSaurus]

BlkPaladin said:
Its going to be close. Last gen there was multiplats on the older hardware and that affected the PS2-to-PS3 adoption rate in conjunction with the high price point. This may slow the adoption rate also to a slow crawl since consumer buying power is extremely low making a $400 price seem like the PS3's $600 price point years ago, which is one of the many reasons I think the beginning of the 8th gen will be the slowest ever. This is will also give fodder to those who think dedicated console machines are dead. I don't see any of the console makers being able to right the ship during their first year. (I do believe that each console will have a initial adopter period and then fall to dangerous levels after the first two months.)

This isn't about the companies "knowing their fan base" this is just a view based purely on the economic conditions as they are now. The US is currently showing positive sign right now but that could change in an instant. Plus I worry about Sony or Microsoft pulling what Nintendo did with the Gamecube which was devastating to the sales. For those that don't remember the sales were starting to pick up so Nintendo prepared for the holiday season by producing more units that usual. The sales rate didn't increase as much as it had been during the rest of the year and they had to STOP production for a few months because they had way too many units in storage. And this destroyed any momentum they had built for the machine.

Sony is the one I'm worried the most with because of 16 million units goal. That goal is even more convoluted then Nintendo forecast for 6 million units. I doubt that Sony would go that far as to overproduce but if they did it would be destructive to the console.

For what period is that goal set?