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kupomogli said:
Soundwave said:

Nintendo likely has Wii Sports U, Mario Kart U, Yoshi's Land, Dragon Quest X, Zelda: Wind Waker Reborn, The Wonderful 101, Wii Fit U, and Pikmin 3 for the rest of the year at least. Maybe 3D Mario too.

Going by what's currently out and rumors of release dates this year, the Vita has more exclusives on both sides of the world.  It depends on what happens this holiday who's going to sell more.  If Nintendo gets multiple Mario titles with no price drop on the Vita in the west, then Nintendo has a chance.  It'll be close, but the Wii U has a good chance.  If the Vita gets a price drop in the west though, I think it'll go towards the Vita, Mario or not. 

Personally I take the complete opposite stance. If WiiU does indeed get the games that Soundwave listed, even without a price drop, it'll still likely beat the Vita + price drop. Couple the WiiU scenario with a price drop, however, and Vita doesn't stand a chance, IMO.