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I wouldn't count anyone out right now. The Wii U can still recover, though I don't think it will ever get near the Wii's sale-through rate. It's sold a pitiful amount, and I think Nintendo has made a lot of questionable moves, but it's basically going to be an even race when the other next gen consoles release. Nintendo has a chance to turn things around with software and a big holiday season. It's all on them to deliver.