Pachter commonly really only talks about the US market or North American market. He's a classic one for talking as if USA is the world. Then again if he's talking 85-95 million in sales for both PS4 and Nextbox, so that's definitely the world. If both consoles LTD at that level then it'll be a close run thing and impossible to predict from here. So I think the certainty with which the Xbox win is announced suggests he means America only on that slide, while he's being more equivocal on the worldwide outlook slide by giving PS4 and Nextbox the same sort of LTD sales range.
I still don't think Wii U is out of contention. Nintendo still has 6 months or so to turn things around and get a sales bump. A price cut just around PS4/Nextbox launch (before would be better I suppose) would be a bit of a wet blanket on the PS4 launch, and create that important price differential between Wii U and the technologically superior PS4/Nextbox. But if Nintendo doesn;t wipe out the competition with Wii U this holidays, and Nextbox and PS4 have good launches then it's going to be a hard generation for Wii U. It will have built up a tidy lead, and it will take quite a while for Nextbox and / or PS4 to overhaul it. So Wii U will be the generation sales leader for a while.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
