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sethnintendo said:
"WiiWare "difficult", whereas Microsoft's XBLA was "excruciating"."

So if most consider XBLA worse than WiiWare then Microsoft might be in trouble with the indie developers considering Nintendo has addressed almost all major issues with WiiWare for their 3DS/Wii U eshops.

That's actually what got me started thinking about this, the way Nintendo is said to have improved with the Wii U.  The Wii had some issues, we know that, with some crazy policies and strange restrictions, but obviously they were open to revision.  I think Microsoft needs to do the same kind of evaluation, as downloadable games are going to be huge next gen.  They're not going to have a headstart like they did with the 360, which built up so much momentum for their online network.

However, if Microsoft is anything, they're smart.  The people who run things pay attention to what is being said in the media.  They know that Nintendo is updating their policies and Sony is said to be aiming for a certification process "somewhere between iOS and the PS3".  I don't expect them to not adapt.