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Are there any doubt?

PS4

+ Early launch (no one year late launch... 16 months in Europe)
+ No high price.... ~$400 this time
+ Friendly and easy development (no more Cell SPEs)
+ More and biggest exclusives
+ More powerful console (gap bigger than PS3 to X360)

I can't see how Nextbox can sell more than PS4 because 360 never sold more than PS3.... it just have a year more in sales (16 months in EU).