Ever since the no used games rumor about nextbox, I've thought that if true, MS would have to have a serious ace or two or five up their sleeves in order to have a chance to pull it off. Long term or full exclusivity of major games would do it.
I don't think it's true though and at most this is probably just some same old same DLC shit.
I LOVE paying for Xbox Live! I also love that my love for it pisses off so many people.