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I thought Pikmin 3 would've already been out by now, you can't deny Nintendo seriously led people on to believe that. Glad I wasn't duped (I was duped by Megaman Legends 3, though. Most disappointing system I've ever owned).

It looks like it's bottoming out at between 30,000 and 35,000 (being generous here). If we're to assume it'll sell 40k the rest of it's weeks by March 31st, it STILL won't have sold even 3 million, which they shipped at launch.

Realistically, what I think they'll do is discout Wii U's for a limited time to retailers a week or two before the deadline to hit the 4 million. Unless they show something big in March (they'll certainly try and show something regardless), I see it BARELY selling more than 3 million. Can't see more than 3.2 on the dot under absolute best circumstances.