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Yes, Nintendo has lost the casuals but it's not like anyone else has them. They've (for the most part) moved past console gaming and handheld gaming. They linger between the occasional Iphone/Android game that all the other casuals are playing (Temple Run, Ruzzle, Angry Birds new installments) and I'd personally say Kinect (since that was probably the last real explosion of casuals playing a console game). In my opinion, the casuals are currently up for grabs. Just depends who makes something that they will be interested in, first.