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Will they get equivalent support to Sony and Microsoft? No, of course not.

Can Nintendo build enough partnerships, obtain the best cross-generation games, and continue to attract smaller developers onto eShop, ensuring a steady stream of content built around high-profile exclusives and marquee first party releases, and a healthy software market split between first party and third party software?

Sure they can. It will be extremely difficult but it's not impossible. I think it's far less important that Nintendo have equivalent support, than building alternative support that ensures the system doesn't have software droughts.