Hell, Nintendogs isn't on that list, and we know what happened there. Same with Brain Age.
DQIX is the only game this gen that has a chance at cracking to top 3.
Also, to put things into perspective with SSBB's 800k debut.
Ocarina of Time had the past highest selling record on a Nintendo Home Console, and it debuted with 400k sales.
Edit: 400k sales. I was looking at Majora's Mask.