Now that Blu-Ray has won, will the PS3 become successful (in America)?

[shams]

It all depends on a few things:
1/ Can BluRay actually "win" - or will it die out in preference of internet based movie delivery?

2/ Will MS deliver a BluRay drive attachment for the 360?

3/ Will MS do a proper refresh of the hardware - and fix ALL the hardware issues?

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The big issue I see with BluRay is this - now that it has "won", the price pressure is off. But if it takes too long to hit mass market price (i.e. $99 for a standalone player) - BluRay will fail completely.

As I have stated before (in my experience/opinion) - I have started buying a lot of DVDs recently - for $5-$10 (ex-rentals, etc..). BluRay discs cost around $40-$50 here in Australia - and apart from the "occasional" movie - there is nothing I would spend that money on.

There is *no* attraction for me to spend $700 (cheapest PS3/BluRay player) on a player - and then spend $40-$50 per movie - to get an "average" improvement in movies that I "own" at home.

- all channels now broadcast in HD here (so I can watch many HD movies for free)
- I can download various HD shows/movies at will via the internet
- my DVD player upsamples to 1080i, supports DIVX - and has a USB input at the front (not to mention coming with a FREE HDMI cable). It only cost $120AU - and that was around 14 months ago.

I'm personally much more psyched about Apples iTV, or even watching movies through a 360 (which I hope to get this year) - than BluRay/HD-DVD in general.

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And finally - I don't see how PS3 sales of approx 65k / week (US) trailing the holiday season is considered a boost.

The same period last year it sold 63k + 56k + 53k + 50k = 223k. This when the PS3 was "out of favour", had far less games - and was *much* more expensive ($200 more?).