@3. Tomb Raider, Metal Gear Rising, GTA V, Watchdogs, Bioshock Infinite, DMC, Battlefield 4 (Beta's due out in September I believe so it should be this year). A lot of stuff coming out. I'm just saying that this makes it seem unlikely that developers were holding back stuff for the 720/PS4 launch.
4. I'm saying they won't leave a 140m install base for a new one. And I do think it will be like last gen with PS3/360/720/Wii U/PS4 games. But the big difference is that the gap in these games won't be as large as they've been. Right off the bat, you don't have the jump to HD, plus the systems themselves aren't going to be a big leap in term of power, the online interface won't be a big leap, it doesn't have some impressive new multimedia capability etc. People are going to see COD running on the 360, see it run on the 720, and they're not going to see a really meaningful difference that would make them buy a new console.
Sony and/or Microsoft could have some huge feature or killer IP idea that would make people go out and grab the next system, but I don't see that happening based on what those companies have been doing recently. If I'm wrong, awesome. But long story short, I think that due to the factors I mentioned, I don't think people will be convinced that the PS4 and 720 are a significant jump over what they already have AND that they should use their 4-500 dollars on tat instead of some other product.
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