Depends on the features.
If it has hdmi 2.0 and ready for 4K movies (8 layer blu-ray discs) $600 (highly unlikely)
If it is like the ps3 (good blu-ray player) $400
If it limits 2nd hand market and requires always online $250 and/or wait until GT6 comes out.
Anyway I'll wait this time to see what games actually come through after launch after the WiiU fiasco.